Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Benevento
29.3%
Draw
45.2%
Palermo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.01
Benevento
vs
1.42
Palermo
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.3%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
4.2%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).