Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.1%
Nurnberg
26.3%
Draw
43.5%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Nurnberg
vs
1.64
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS60.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.534.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.8%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).