Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.2%
Vicenza
30.3%
Draw
30.5%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Vicenza
vs
1.10
Spal
Markets
BTTS49.3%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.9%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-0
10.6%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).