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16 Aug 2025 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.0%
Vitória Guimarães
24.1%
Draw
37.9%
Estoril

Expected Goals (xG)

1.70

Vitória Guimarães

vs
1.70

Estoril

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.586.1%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
7.0%
1-0
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.1%
3-2
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).