Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Caen
27.3%
Draw
38.8%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Caen
vs
1.12
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS42.2%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.562.2%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).