Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.3%
Ponferradina
28.2%
Draw
45.6%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Ponferradina
vs
1.29
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.0%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).