Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.0%
Ath Bilbao
28.4%
Draw
28.7%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Ath Bilbao
vs
1.04
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.590.2%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).