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21 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.9%
Walsall
26.9%
Draw
33.3%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.24

Walsall

vs
1.10

Crewe

Markets

BTTS46.8%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.541.4%
Over 3.520.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
0-1
11.2%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
3.0%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).