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17 Aug 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.2%
Goztep
33.6%
Draw
37.2%
Fenerbahce

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Goztep

vs
1.32

Fenerbahce

Markets

BTTS53.3%
Over 0.588.3%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.1%
0-0
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
3.7%
0-3
3.2%
3-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).