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05 Oct 2025 · 11:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.2%
Sochi
28.8%
Draw
30.1%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.45

Sochi

vs
1.21

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS55.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.3%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).