Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
Mansfield
14.9%
Draw
9.6%
Crawley Town
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Mansfield
vs
0.76
Crawley Town
Markets
BTTS48.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.0%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.0%
4-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
3.6%
2-2
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
5-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).