Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.7%
Porto
13.0%
Draw
3.3%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Porto
vs
0.36
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.0%
3-0
14.9%
1-0
14.0%
4-0
9.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
6.2%
1-1
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
5-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
1.7%
5-1
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).