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AHT: 11

17 May 2025 · 13:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.1%
Freiburg
23.5%
Draw
39.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt

Expected Goals (xG)

1.74

Freiburg

vs
1.79

Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

BTTS69.4%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.568.5%
Over 3.547.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
0-1
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-2
4.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).