Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.5%
Luton
28.1%
Draw
46.4%
Sheffield United
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Luton
vs
1.46
Sheffield United
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
9.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).