Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.1%
Paris FC
23.5%
Draw
23.4%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Paris FC
vs
0.93
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.9%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).