Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Oxford
23.3%
Draw
23.5%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Oxford
vs
0.94
Exeter
Markets
BTTS47.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).