Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.4%
Chorley
24.8%
Draw
13.8%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Chorley
vs
0.70
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.2%
2-0
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
2-2
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).