Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.3%
Milton Keynes Dons
25.5%
Draw
26.1%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Milton Keynes Dons
vs
0.98
Accrington
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.543.9%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.0%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).