Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.0%
Harrogate
24.3%
Draw
58.7%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Harrogate
vs
1.57
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.6%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
12.7%
1-1
10.9%
0-0
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-3
6.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-1
4.0%
2-2
3.1%
0-4
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).