Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Gil Vicente
25.8%
Draw
13.8%
Tondela
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Gil Vicente
vs
0.64
Tondela
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.566.5%
Over 2.539.1%
Over 3.519.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.3%
2-0
13.7%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
4-0
3.0%
2-2
2.8%
0-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).