Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.7%
Caen
21.5%
Draw
47.8%
Pau FC
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Caen
vs
1.76
Pau FC
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.538.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-0
4.1%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
3.7%
0-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).