Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.5%
Parma
29.0%
Draw
40.5%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Parma
vs
1.17
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
11.6%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).