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27 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.5%
Livingston
26.9%
Draw
27.6%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Livingston

vs
1.15

Ross County

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.0%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).