Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.3%
Eibar
23.2%
Draw
59.5%
Real Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Eibar
vs
1.81
Real Madrid
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.527.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.3%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
2-2
4.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).