Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.2%
Maidenhead
26.1%
Draw
57.7%
Rochdale
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
Maidenhead
vs
1.66
Rochdale
Markets
BTTS44.4%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.2%
0-2
12.1%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
2-2
3.6%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).