Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Boavista
28.4%
Draw
47.7%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Boavista
vs
1.43
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).