Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Hartlepool
29.8%
Draw
28.7%
Maidenhead
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Hartlepool
vs
1.05
Maidenhead
Markets
BTTS48.5%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.5%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).