Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.0%
Benfica
7.5%
Draw
2.5%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
3.13
Benfica
vs
0.39
Boavista
Markets
BTTS30.4%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.586.4%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.546.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
15.2%
2-0
14.6%
4-0
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
5-0
7.4%
3-1
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
4-1
4.6%
1-1
3.4%
5-1
2.9%
0-0
2.8%
0-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).