Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Guingamp
19.0%
Draw
60.5%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14
Guingamp
vs
2.11
Lorient
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.8%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-1
8.6%
1-3
6.9%
0-3
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-3
3.9%
1-4
3.7%
0-4
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).