Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.8%
Ferrol
34.7%
Draw
42.5%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
0.61
Ferrol
vs
0.95
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS28.0%
Over 0.579.2%
Over 1.546.3%
Over 2.520.8%
Over 3.57.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
20.8%
0-1
20.1%
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-0
3.9%
2-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
1.9%
2-2
1.8%
3-0
0.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).