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DHT: 11

14 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Anderlecht
25.9%
Draw
27.2%
Westerlo

Expected Goals (xG)

1.58

Anderlecht

vs
1.15

Westerlo

Markets

BTTS54.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.529.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.2%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).