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14 Dec 2025 · 15:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.2%
Celta
26.2%
Draw
20.6%
Crowborough Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Celta

vs
0.85

Crowborough Athletic

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.569.3%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-0
10.8%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.6%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).