Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →78.0%
Brentford
15.4%
Draw
6.6%
Leicester
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Brentford
vs
0.72
Leicester
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
0-0
4.2%
5-0
3.9%
2-2
3.1%
5-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).