Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.2%
Hammarby
26.4%
Draw
22.4%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Hammarby
vs
1.06
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).