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DHT: 01CSV

19 Jan 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.1%
Parma
32.1%
Draw
28.8%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

1.00

Parma

vs
0.81

Venezia

Markets

BTTS34.9%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.553.8%
Over 2.527.3%
Over 3.511.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
0-0
16.1%
0-1
13.5%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
8.2%
2-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
5.4%
3-0
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.2%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).