Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.0%
Man United
17.3%
Draw
12.7%
Queens Park Rangers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.29
Man United
vs
0.85
Queens Park Rangers
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.9%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.538.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
8.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-0
4.0%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).