Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Leganes
31.6%
Draw
25.3%
Sabadell
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Leganes
vs
0.75
Sabadell
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.554.7%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).