Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.7%
Gil Vicente
24.4%
Draw
19.8%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Gil Vicente
vs
0.81
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS43.2%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.567.9%
Over 2.542.2%
Over 3.521.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.1%
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
5.9%
3-1
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
3.0%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).