Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.8%
Norwich
16.8%
Draw
76.4%
Man United
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Norwich
vs
2.48
Man United
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
13.4%
0-3
11.1%
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.8%
1-1
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
0-4
6.9%
0-0
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
0-5
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).