Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.1%
Girona
25.2%
Draw
28.7%
Sevilla
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Girona
vs
1.21
Sevilla
Markets
BTTS56.3%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.531.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).