Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.8%
Tondela
29.7%
Draw
18.4%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Tondela
vs
0.71
AVS
Markets
BTTS39.0%
Over 0.586.7%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.534.7%
Over 3.515.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-0
11.7%
2-1
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).