Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.8%
Brentford
28.6%
Draw
26.6%
Crystal Palace
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Brentford
vs
1.15
Crystal Palace
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.528.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
4.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).