Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →17.8%
Carlisle
19.7%
Draw
62.5%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Carlisle
vs
2.07
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.559.3%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
10.0%
0-2
10.0%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-3
6.9%
1-0
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-1
4.8%
0-0
4.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).