Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →6.7%
Rio Ave
19.0%
Draw
74.2%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.46
Rio Ave
vs
2.03
Porto
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
17.2%
0-1
16.5%
0-3
11.6%
0-0
8.8%
1-1
8.2%
1-2
7.8%
0-4
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
1-0
3.3%
1-4
2.7%
0-5
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).