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18 Apr 2022 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.7%
Nott'm Forest
24.6%
Draw
12.7%
West Brom

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Nott'm Forest

vs
0.66

West Brom

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
2-0
13.8%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-2
3.0%
4-1
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).