Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Roma
17.1%
Draw
9.2%
Frosinone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Roma
vs
0.63
Frosinone
Markets
BTTS41.2%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.3%
1-0
13.2%
3-0
10.5%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.8%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).