Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.4%
Goztep
35.7%
Draw
15.8%
Samsunspor
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Goztep
vs
0.64
Samsunspor
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.582.0%
Over 1.559.7%
Over 2.529.7%
Over 3.512.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.0%
1-0
15.8%
1-1
15.1%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
5.0%
1-2
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
0-2
3.1%
2-2
2.4%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).