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11 Jan 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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92.0%
Leicester
6.1%
Draw
1.9%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

3.42

Leicester

vs
0.38

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS30.6%
Over 0.597.8%
Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.573.1%
Over 3.552.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

3-0
14.9%
2-0
13.1%
4-0
12.7%
5-0
8.7%
1-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
2-1
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
5-1
3.3%
1-1
2.8%
0-0
2.2%
3-2
1.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).