Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →13.1%
Lugo
29.0%
Draw
57.9%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Lugo
vs
1.29
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS26.4%
Over 0.582.7%
Over 1.552.0%
Over 2.525.5%
Over 3.510.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
22.6%
0-0
17.3%
0-2
14.6%
1-1
10.1%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-3
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
0-4
2.0%
2-0
1.8%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).