Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.1%
Livingston
27.3%
Draw
15.6%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Livingston
vs
0.80
Ayr
Markets
BTTS46.9%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).